Micro Lesson Plan - Quantitative Techniques for Business Decisions

 

ANDHRA LOYOLA INSTITUTE OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY

Department: MBA

Subject: QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR BUSINESS DECISIONS

 

Teacher:Mrs. V. NAGA LAKSHMI                      Academic Year:2020-21                   Year/Semester: I--I   

 

Course Outcomes:

 

DESCRIPTION

Bloom’s

Level

At the end of this course the student will able to:

CO1

·         Apply quantitative methods to analyse social science data and to understand other people’s use of these methods

Factual, Conceptual & Applied

CO2

·         knowledge of various types of data, their organisation and evaluation of summary measures such as measures of central tendency and dispersion etc., learn the notion of conditional probability including the concept of Bayes’ Theorem

Factual, Conceptual & Applied

CO3

To comprehend the decision making process under uncertainty using statistical tools

Factual, Conceptual & Applied

CO4

To understand the meaning and process of hypothesis testing including one-sample and two-sample tests

Factual, Conceptual & Applied

CO5

To appreciate the importance and application of non-parametric tests in hypothesis testing.

Factual, Conceptual & Applied

 

Text book References:

Text book -1:“Quantitative Techniques” , Dr. C. Satya Devi, S.Chand

Text book-2: Complex Variables & Statistical Methods, Dr.T.V.Itengar, Dr. B. Krishan Gandhi, S. Ranganatham, Dr. MVSSN. Prasad, S.Chand

Text book-3:“Probability & Statistics” , K.Murugesan, P.Guru Swamy, S.Chand

Text book-4:“Operations Research”, Kanthi Swarup, PK. Gupta, ManMohan, S.Chand

Text book-5:“Mathematical Foundations of Computer Science” Dr.DSC, Prism

Text book-6:“Probability & Statistics”, William Mendenhall, Rober,J, Beaver, Barbara M Beaver, Cengage Learning                            

 

 

Contents/Activities:

1

Factual:Factual knowledge consistbasic information about a particular subject or discipline that students must be acquainted with. This may include the terminology and the specific details or elements of a subject

·         Basic Mathematical & Statistical Techniques, Linear, Quadratic, Logarithmic and Exponential Functions, Permutations and Combinations, Matrices - Elementary operations of matrices (Unit-1)

·         Measures of Central Tendency – Measures of Dispersion –Simple Correlation and Regression Analysis, Concept of Probability (Unit-2)

·         Introduction to Decision Theory (Unit-3)

·         Sampling and Sampling Distributions – Estimation – Point and Interval Estimates of Averages, and proportions of small and Large Samples (Unit-4)

·         Tests Two SamplesTests of Difference between Mean and Proportions of Small and Large Samples – Chi- square Test of Independence and Goodness of Fitness- Analysis of Variance (Unit-5)

2

Conceptual: Conceptual knowledge consists of knowledge of, or understanding of concepts, principles, theories, models, classifications, etc. We learn conceptual knowledge through reading, viewing, listening, experiencing, or thoughtful, reflective mental activity.

 

·         Probability Rules – Joint and Marginal Probability – Baye‘s Theorem (Unit-2)

·         Different environments in which decisions are made, Criteria for Decision Making (Unit-3)

Concepts of Testing Hypothesis (Unit-4)

3

Procedural:  Procedural knowledge is the knowledge exercised in the performance of some task.

·         Probability Distributions- Binomial, Poisson, Normal and Exponential Probability Distributions(Unit-2)

·         Steps involved in Decision Making, Decision making under uncertainty, Decision making under conditions of Risk-Utility as a decision criterion, Decision trees, Graphic displays of the decision making process, Decision making with an active opponent (Unit-3)

·         One Sample Test for Testing Mean and Proportion of Large and Small Samples(Unit-4)

·         Tests Two SamplesTests of Difference between Mean and Proportions of Small and Large Samples – Chi- square Test of Independence and Goodness of Fitness- Analysis of Variance (Unit-5)

 

4

Applied: Applied knowledge is learning that is used in various situations and contexts.

·         Linear, Quadratic, Logarithmic and Exponential Functions, Permutations and Combinations (Unit-1)

·         Measures of Central Tendency – Measures of Dispersion –Simple Correlation and Regression Analysis(Unit-2)

·         Decision making under uncertainty, Decision making under conditions of Risk-Utility as a decision criterion, Decision trees, Graphic displays of the decision making process (Unit-3)

 

·         Sampling and Sampling Distributions – Estimation – Point and Interval Estimates of Averagesand proportions of small and Large Samples, One Sample Test for Testing Mean and Proportion of Large and Small Samples (Unit-4)

 

·         Tests Two SamplesTests of Difference between Mean and Proportions of Small and Large Samples – Chi- square Test of Independence and Goodness of Fitness- Analysis of Variance (Unit-5)

 

    

Schedule and Sequence:

   Day

Topic

Objectives

Before Class-Videos, e-Books, Case Studies

In-Class-Activities,Quiz

Post-Class-Assignment, Discussion Forum

1

UNIT-1

Basic Mathematical & Statistical Techniques

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Learn to apply functions, permutations, combinations and matrices in real life business examples

 

 

 

·         Refer the Text book – T1

Page No: 532-574

*    Handout

·         Lecture on Basic Mathematical & Statistical Techniques

 

Review on the topic

2

LinearFunctions

·         Refer the Text book -T1

·         Page No: 532-574

*    Handout

·         PracticeLinear Functions

Review on the topic

3

Quadratic Functions

·         Refer the Text book -T1 Page No: 532-574

*    Handout

·      PracticeQuadratic Functions

Review on the topic

4

Logarithmic Functions

·         Refer the Text book -T1 Page No: 532-574

*    Handout

·         PracticeLogarithmic Functions

Review on the topic

5

Exponential Functions

·         Refer the Text book -T1 Page No: 532-574

*    Handout

·      Practice Exponential Functions

Review on the topic

6

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -T1 Page No: 532-574

*    Handout

·      Practice function problems

Review on the topic

7

Permutations

·         Refer the Text book -T5 Page No: 346-351

*    Handout

·      Practice permutations

Review on the topic

8

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -T5 Page No: 346-351

*    Handout

·      Practice problems on permutations

Review on the topic

9

Combinations

·         Refer the Text book -T5 Page No: 353-360

*    Handout

·      Practice combinations problems

Review on the topic

 

 

10

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -T5 Page No: 353-360

*    Handout

·      Practice combinations problems

Review on the topic

11

Matrices - Elementary operations of matrices

·         Refer the Text book -T1 Page No: 470-500

*    Handout

·      Practice problems on matrices: its elementary operations

Review on the topic

12

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -T1 Page No: 470-500

·         *    Handout

·      Practice matrices problems on Cramer’s Rule

Review on the topic

13

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -T1 Page No: 470-500

·         *    Handout

·      Practice matrices problems on Matrix Inversion Method

Review on the topic

14

UNIT -2Measures of Central Tendency

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Analyze statistical data using measures of central tendency, dispersion and location  and Identify the type of statistical situation to which different distributions can be applied

·         Refer the Text book -T1 Page No: 100-172

*    Handout

·      Practice problems on Central Tendency: mean, median, mode

Review on the topic

15

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -T1 Page No: 100-172

*    Handout

·      Practice problems on Central Tendency: mean, median, mode

Review on the topic

16

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -T1 Page No: 100-172

*    Handout

·      Practice problems on Central Tendency: mean, median, mode

Review on the topic

 

17

Measures of Dispersion

·         Refer the Text book -T1 Page No: 173-215

*    Handout

·      Practice problems on standard deviation, mean deviation, range

Review on the topic

 

18

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -1

Page No: 173-215

*    Handout

·      Practice problems on standard deviation, mean deviation, range

Review on the topic

 

19

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -1

Page No: 173-215

*    Handout

·         Practice problems on standard deviation, mean deviation, range

Review on the topic

 

20

Simple Correlation

·         Refer the Text book -1

Page No: 245-271

*    Handout

·      Practice problems on correlation

Review on the topic

 

21

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -1

Page No: 245-271

*     Handout

·      Practice problems on correlation

Review on the topic

 

22

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -1

Page No: 245-271

*     Handout

·      Practice problems on correlation

Review on the topic

 

23

Regression Analysis

·         Refer the Text book -1

Page No: 245-271

*     Handout

·      Practice problems on regression analysis X on Y and Y on X

 

24

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -1

Page No: 282-296

*     Handout

·      Practice problems on regression analysis X on Y and Y on X

 

25

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -1

Page No: 282-296

*     Handout

·      Practice problems on regression analysis X on Y and Y on X

 

26

Concept of Probability- Probability Rules – Joint and Marginal Probability

·         Refer the Text book -1

Page No: 615-628

*     Handout

·      Discuss the concepts of probability to be familiar with the terms

 

27

Baye‘s Theorem

·         Refer the Text book -1

Page No: 638-643

*     Handout

·      Practice theorem on Baye’s theorem

 

28

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -1

Page No: 638-643

*     Handout

·      Practice problems relating to Baye’s theorem

 

 

29

Probability Distributions-

·         Refer the Text book -3

Page No: 4.1

*     Handout

·      Practice problems relating to probability distributions

 

30

Binomial Distributions

·         Refer the Text book -3

Page No: 4.1-4.16

*     Handout

·      Practice problems relating to binomial distribution by using formulas

 

31

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -3

Page No: 4.1-4.16

*     Handout

·      Practice problems relating to binomial distribution by using formulas

 

32

Poisson Distributions

·         Refer the Text book -3

Page No: 4.17-4.29

*     Handout

·      Practice problems relating to Poisson distribution by using formulas

 

33

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -3

Page No: 4.17-4.29

*     Handout

·      Practice problems relating to Poisson distribution by using formulas

 

34

NormalDistributions

·         Refer the Text book -3

Page No: 4.30-4.48

*     Handout

·      Practice problems relating to Normal distribution by using formulas

 

35

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -3

Page No: 4.30-4.48

*     Handout

·      Practice problems relating to Normal distribution by using formulas

 

36

Exponential ProbabilityDistributions

·         Refer the Text book -3

Page No: 4.30-4.48

*     Handout

·      Practice problems relating to Exponential distribution by using formulas

 

37

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -3

Page No: 4.30-4.48

*     Handout

·      Practice problems relating to Exponential distribution by using formulas

 

38

UNIT – 3 Introduction to Decision Theory

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Explore how problem solving and decision making interrelate and offering techniques for methodically evaluating decisions

·         Refer the Text book -4

Page No:415-418

*     Handout

·      Discuss the topics relating to decision theory

 

39

Steps involved in Decision Making, different environments in which decisions are made

·         Refer the Text book -4

Page No: 415-418

*     Handout

·      Discuss the steps involved in decision making in different environments

 

40

 

Criteria for Decision Making, Decision making under uncertainty

·         Refer the Text book -4

Page No: 415-418

*     Handout

·      Practice problems relating to decision making under uncertainty

Review on the topic

 

41

Decision making under conditions of Risk-Utility as a decision criterion

·         Refer the Text book -4

Page No: 415-418

*     Handout

·      Practiceproblems relating to decision making under risk

Review on the topic

 

42

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -4

Page No:415-418

*     Handout

·      Practiceproblems relating to decision making under risk

Review on the topic

 

43

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -4

Page No: 415-418

* Handout

·      Practiceproblems relating to decision making under risk

Review on the topic

 

44

Decision trees

·         Refer the Text book -4

Page No: 418-423

*     Handout

·      Practice problems relating to decision trees and steps to construct decision trees

Review on the topic

 

45

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -4

Page No: 418-423

*     Handout

·      Practiceproblems relating to decision trees and steps to construct decision trees

Review on the topic

 

46

Graphic displays of the decision making process

·         Refer the Text book -4

Page No: 423-430

*     Handout

·      Practice problems relating to graphic displays in decision making process

Review on the topic

 

47

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -4

Page No: 423-430

*     Handout

·      Practiceproblems relating to graphic displays in decision making process

Review on the topic

 

48

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -4

Page No: 423-430

*     Handout      

·      Practiceproblems relating to graphic displays in decision making process

Review on the topic

 

 

49-52

Student

Presentations

Mid 1 Assessment

·         Preparation of Mini Report by the Student on the given topic

Minimum 10 Minutes Presentation by each student

Improving presentation skills basing on faculty recommendations

53

Decision making with an active opponent

 

 

·         Refer the Text book -4

Page No: 430-435

*     Handout  

·      Practice problems relating to decision making with an active opponent

Review on the topic

 

54

UNIT – 4Sampling and Sampling Distributions – Estimation – Point and Interval

 

 

 

 

 

Translate real-world problems into probability models,  Derive the probability density function of transformation of random variables Calculate probabilities, and derive the marginal and conditional distributions of bivariate random variables and understand the hypothesis testing

 

·         Refer the Text book -2

Page No: 428-440

*     Handout

·      Practice problem relating to sampling  distributions

Review on the topic

 

55

Estimates of Averages and proportions of small and Large Samples

 

 

·         Refer the Text book -2

Page No: 465-475

*     Handout

·      Practice problems relating to proportions and averages of small & large samples

Review on the topic

 

56

Proportions of small Samples

 

 

 

·         Refer the Text book - 2

Page No: 370-378

*     Handout

·      Practice problems on proportion of small samples

Review on the topic

 

57

Problems for practice

 

 

·         Refer the Text book –2

Page No: 370-378

* Handout

Practiceproblems on proportion of small samples

Review on the topic

 

58

Problems for practice

 

·         Refer the Text book -2

Page No: 370-378

*     Handout

Practiceproblems on proportion of small samples

Review on the topic

 

59

Proportions of Large Sample

 

·         Refer the Text book - 2

Page No: 477-491

*     Handout

·      Practiceproblems on proportion of large samples

Review on the topic

 

60

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -2

Page No: 477-491

*     Handout

·      Practiceproblems on proportion of large samples

Review on the topic

 

61

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -2

Page No: 477-491

*     Handout

·      Practiceproblems on proportion of large samples

Review on the topic

 

62

UNIT-5:Tests of Difference between Mean of Small Samples

Learn parametric and nonparametric test such as the Chi-Square test for Independence as well as Goodness of Fit

 

·         Refer the Text book -2

Page No: 500-504

*     Handout

·      Practice problems on difference between mean of small samples

Review on the topic

 

63

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -2 Page No: 500-504

*     Handout

·      Practiceproblems on difference between mean of small samples

Review on the topic

 

64

Tests of Difference between Mean of Large Samples

·         Refer the Text book -2

Page No: 508-532

*     Handout

·      Practiceproblems on difference between mean of large samples

Review on the topic

 

65

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -2

Page No: 508-532

*     Handout

·      Practiceproblems on difference between mean of large samples

Review on the topic

 

66

Tests of Difference between Proportions of Small Samples

·         Refer the Text book -2

Page No: 580-613

*     Handout

·      Practiceproblems on difference between proportions of small samples

Review on the topic

 

67

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -2

Page No: 580-613

*     Handout

·      Practiceproblems on difference between proportions of small samples

Review on the topic

 

68

Tests of Difference between Proportions of Large Samples

·         Refer the Text book -2

Page No: 533-578

*     Handout

·         Practiceproblems on difference between proportions of large samples

Review on the topic

 

69

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -2

Page No: 533-578

*     Handout

·         Practiceproblems on difference between proportions of large samples

Review on the topic

 

70

Chi- square Test of Independence

·         Refer the Text book -2

Page No: 631-653

*     Handout

·      Practiceproblems on chi-square test

Review on the topic

 

71

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -2

Page No: 631-653

*     Handout

·      Practiceproblems on chi-square test

Review on the topic

 

 

72

Goodness of Fitness

·         Refer the Text book -2

Page No: 631-653

*     Handout

Practice problems on chi-square test

Review on the topic

 

73

Problems for practice

·         Refer the Text book -2

·         Refer the Text book -2

Page No: 631-653

*     HandoutNo: 631-653

*     Handout

Practice problems on chi-square test

Review on the topic

 

74

Analysis of Variance – One way

·         Refer the Text book -6

Page No: 460-489

*     Handout

Practice problems on chi-square test

Review on the topic

 

75

Analysis of Variance-one way

·         Refer the Text book -6

Page No: 460-489

*     Handout

Practice problems on chi-square test

Review on the topic

 

76

Analysis of Variance-Two way

·         Refer the Text book -6

Page No: 460-489

*     Handout

Practice problems on chi-square test

Review on the topic

 

77

Analysis of Variance-Two Way

·         Refer the Text book -6

Page No: 460-489

*     Handout

Practice problems on chi-square test

Review on the topic

 

78-80

Student

Presentations

Mid 2 Assessment

·         Preparation of Mini Report by the Student on the given topic

 

Improving presentation skills basing on faculty recommendations

 

Evaluation:

·         Mini Report:5Marks for Mid 1 & Mid 2 Separately.

·         Presentation:5Marks for Mid 1 & Mid 2 Separately.

·         Descriptive Exam: 15Marks for Mid 1 & Mid 2 Separately

·         Total Mid marks 30 Marks: Average of Mid 1 & Mid 2 

 

 

SIGNATURE OF FACULTY                                                                                                                                                                                             SIGNATURE OF HOD

 

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